Main Article Content

Patricio Daniel Navia
New York University/ Universidad Diego Portales
United States
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9398-8393
Biography
Lucas Perelló
The New School for Social Research
United States
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8142-7246
Vol. 9 No. 2 (2020), Articles, pages 81-109
DOI: https://doi.org/10.14201/rlop.23628
Accepted: Oct 7, 2020
Copyright How to Cite

Abstract

This article explores the growing popularity of alternative presidential candidates — those from outside the two dominant coalitions — in Chile from 2009 to 2017. Following a theoretical discussion that focuses on the causes of voter discontent with the political establishment, we formulate four hypotheses. We view support for alternative presidential candidates as a function of ideological detachment, declining political engagement, the economic vote, and socio-demographic shifts in the electorate. We use three pre-electoral Centro de Estudios Públicos surveys to present probit models and predicted probabilities. Our findings suggest that a distinct segment of Chilean voters is behind the rise of alternative presidential candidates. Younger and more educated voters who identify less with the traditional left-right ideological scale and political parties and suffer from economic anxiety—viewing the economy as performing well nationally while remaining pessimistic about their financial prospects—comprise this subgroup.

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