Are Emotions Reliable Guides for Policy Making? An Evolutionary Approach
Abstract Technology has become all-important in modern society. For each application, it is crucial for society to have a good understanding of the risks and benefits involved. However, experts tend to assess the risks very differently than the public. One of the main reasons is that experts tend to rely on an objective analysis of the facts, whereas laypeople’s judgment is also based on other factors, including emotional responses. The question remains however whether that is a good thing. Some argue that emotions lead to biases and should be treated with great suspicion; others claim that the laypeople’s approach to risk is much richer and should also be taken into consideration. In this paper, I explore how we can answer that important question from an evolutionary perspective. First, I briefly outline the role of emotions in judgment and decision making. Next, I discuss two approaches that have defended the rationality of emotions: Roeser’s concept of emotions as trustworthy indicators of moral risks and Kahan’s cultural evaluator theory. Subsequently, I briefly discuss the evolution of emotions and their impact on risk assessment. I conclude from that account that emotions are not trustworthy guide for policy making.
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Aldrich, John. Why parties? The origin and transformation of party politics in America. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1995.
Álvarez, Michael y Marsteintredet, Leiv. Presidential and Democratic Breakdowns in Latin America: Similar Causes, Different Outcomes. En Llanos, Mariana y Marsteintredet, Leiv (eds.). Presidential Breakdowns in Latin America. Causes and Outcomes of Executive Instability in Developing Democracies. Nueva York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2010.
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Balán, Manuel. Competition by Denunciation: The Political Dynamics of Corruption Scandals in Argentina and Chile. Comparative Politics, 2001, vol. 43 (4): 459-478.
Blankenburg, Erhard; Commaille, Jacques y Galanter, Marc. Disputes and Litigation. Oñati: Oñati Internacional Institute for Sociology of Law, 1991.
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Carey, John. Party Unity in Legislative Voting. Paper presentado en American Political Science Associations Conference, septiembre, 2000.
Carey, John. Presidencialismo versus parlamentarismo. PostData, 2006, vol. 11 (abril): 121-161.
Carey, John y Shugart, Matthew. Executive Decree Authority. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1998.
Carlin, Ryan. The decline of citizen participation in electoral politics in post-authoritarian Chile. Democratization, 2006, vol. 13 (4): 632-651.
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García Montero, Mercedes. Presidentes y Parlamentos: ¿Quién controla la actividad legislativa en América Latina? Madrid: Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas, 2009.
Helmke, Gretchen y Levitsky, Steven. Informal Institutions and Comparative Politics: A Research Agenda. Perspectives on Politics, 2004, vol. 2 (4): 725-740.
Hochstetler, Kathryn. Rethinking Presidentialism: Challenges and Presidential Falls in South America. Comparative Politics, 2006, vol. 38 (4): 401-418.
Hochstetler, Kathryn y Edwards, Margaret. Failed Presidencies: Identifying and Explaining a South American Anomaly. Journal of Politics in Latin America, 2009, vol. 1 (2): 31-57.
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Jones, Mark. Electoral Laws and the Survival of Presidential Democracies. Notre Dame: University of Notre Dame Press, 1995.
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Scott y Shugart, Matthew (eds.). Presidentialism and Democracy in Latin America. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1997.
Kada, Naoko. Investigative Committees as an Accountability Check? Lessons from Brazil and Colombia. Paper presentado en Latin American Studies Association. Washington, D.C., 4-6 de septiembre, 2001.
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Kim, Young Hun y Bahry, Donna. Interrupted Presidencies in Third Wave Democracies. The Journal of Politics, 2008, vol. 70 (3): 807-822.
Krehbiel, Keith. Party Discipline and Measures of Partisanship. American Journal of Political Science, 2000, vol. 44: 212-227.
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legislatina. Observatorio del Poder Legislativo en América Latina. Proyecto Observatorio de Instituciones Representativas (oir) de la Universidad de Salamanca, en línea: http://americo.usal.es/oir/legislatina.
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Lijphart, Arend. Patterns of Democracy. New Haven: Yale University Press, 1999.
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Linz, Juan y Stepan, Alfred. The Breakdown of Democratic Regimes. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1978.
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Helmke, Gretchen y Levitsky, Steven. Informal Institutions and Comparative Politics: A Research Agenda. Perspectives on Politics, 2004, vol. 2 (4): 725-740.
Hochstetler, Kathryn. Rethinking Presidentialism: Challenges and Presidential Falls in South America. Comparative Politics, 2006, vol. 38 (4): 401-418.
Hochstetler, Kathryn y Edwards, Margaret. Failed Presidencies: Identifying and Explaining a South American Anomaly. Journal of Politics in Latin America, 2009, vol. 1 (2): 31-57.
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Jones, Mark. Evaluating Argentina’s Presidential Democracy: 1983-1995. En Mainwaring,
Scott y Shugart, Matthew (eds.). Presidentialism and Democracy in Latin America. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1997.
Kada, Naoko. Investigative Committees as an Accountability Check? Lessons from Brazil and Colombia. Paper presentado en Latin American Studies Association. Washington, D.C., 4-6 de septiembre, 2001.
Kim, Young Hun. Impeachment and Presidential Politics in New Democracies. Paper presentado en Midwest Political Science Association 67th Annual National Conference. Chicago, mayo, 2013.
Kim, Young Hun y Bahry, Donna. Interrupted Presidencies in Third Wave Democracies. The Journal of Politics, 2008, vol. 70 (3): 807-822.
Krehbiel, Keith. Party Discipline and Measures of Partisanship. American Journal of Political Science, 2000, vol. 44: 212-227.
Kvaternik, Eugenio. Crisis sin salvataje: la crisis político-militar de 1962-63. Buenos Aires: Instituto de Desarrollo Económico y Social, 1987.
Lauga, Martín. La campaña electoral en América Latina: propaganda, periodo, prohibiciones. Heidelberg: Institut für Politische Wissenschaft, 1994.
legislatina. Observatorio del Poder Legislativo en América Latina. Proyecto Observatorio de Instituciones Representativas (oir) de la Universidad de Salamanca, en línea: http://americo.usal.es/oir/legislatina.
Leiva, Fernando. eclac and Latin American Neostructuralism After 2000: Protecting Society from the Market or Subordinating the Public Sphere to the Logic of Transnational Capital? Paper presentado en Society for the Advancement of Socio-Economics International Congress. San José de Costa Rica, julio, 2008.
Lijphart, Arend. Patterns of Democracy. New Haven: Yale University Press, 1999.
Linz, Juan. The perils of presidentialism. Journal of Democracy, 1990, vol. 1 (1): 51-69.
Linz, Juan y Stepan, Alfred. The Breakdown of Democratic Regimes. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1978.
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Mainwaring, Scott y Pérez Liñán, Aníbal. Party discipline in the Brazilian Constitutional Congress. Legislative Studies Quarterly, 1997, vol. 22: 453-483.
Mainwaring, Scott y Scully, Timothy. La construcción de instituciones democráticas: sistemas de partidos en América Latina. Santiago de Chile: cieplan, 1996.
Mainwaring, Scott y Shugart, Matthew. Presidentialism and Democracy in Latin America. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1997.
Malamud, Andrés. El bipartidismo argentino: evidencias y razones de una persistencia (1983-2003). Revista Uruguaya de Ciencia Política, 2004, n.° 14.
Marsteintredet, Leiv y Berntzen, Einar. Latin American Presidentialism: Reducing the Perils of Presidentialism through Presidential Interruptions. Paper presentado en Workshop on Parliamentary Practices in Presidential Systems. Chipre, abril, 2006.
Mayhew, David. Congress: The Electoral Connection. New Haven: Yale University Press, 1974.
Mayorga, René. La gran concertación y la megacoalición. La Razón, 12 de junio, 1997.
Mayorga, René. Bolivia: metamorfosis del sistema de partidos. Iconos Revista de Ciencias Sociales, 2003, n.° 16: 96-105.
Molinas, José; Pérez Liñán, Aníbal y Saiegh, Sebastián. Political Institutions, Policymaking Processes, And Policy Outcomes In Paraguay, 1954-2003. Revista de Ciencia Política, 2004, vol. 24 (2): 67-93.
Munck, Gerardo y Verkuilen, Jay. Conceptualizing and Measuring Democracy: Evaluating Alternative Indices. Comparative Political Studies, 2002, vol. 35 (1): 5-34.
Mustapic, Ana María. Inestabilidad sin colapso. La renuncia de los presidentes: Argentina en el año 2001. Desarrollo Económico, 2005, vol. 45 (178): 263-280.
Mustapic, Ana María. América Latina: las renuncias presidenciales y el papel del Congreso. Política, 2006, n.º 47: 55-70.
Mustapic, Ana María. Presidentialism and Early Exists: The Role of Congress. En Llanos, Mariana y Marsteintredet, Leiv (eds.). Presidential Breakdowns in Latin America. Causes and Outcomes of Executive Instability in Developing Democracies. New York: Palgrave, 2010.
Negretto, Gabriel. ¿Gobierna solo el Presidente? Poderes de decreto y diseño institucional en Brasil y Argentina. Desarrollo Económico, 2002, vol. 42 (167): 377-404.
Negretto, Gabriel. Minority presidents and democratic performance in Latin America. Latin American Politics and Society, 2006, vol. 48 (3): 63-92.
Neustadt, Richard. Presidential Power and the Modern Presidents: The Politics of Leadership from Roosevelt to Reagan. New York: The Free Press, 1960.
Nohlen, Dieter. Presidencialismo, sistemas electorales y sistemas de partidos: reflexiones exploratorias para América Latina. En Nohlen, Dieter y Fernández, Mario (comps.). Presidencialismo versus Parlamentarismo: América Latina. Caracas: Nueva Sociedad, 1991.
Ollier, María Matilde. La institucionalización democrática en el callejón: la inestabilidad presidencial en Argentina (1999-2003). América Latina Hoy, Revista de Ciencias Sociales, 2008, vol. 49 (abril): 73-103.
Pérez Liñán, Aníbal. ¿Juicio político o golpe legislativo? Sobre las crisis constitucionales en los años noventa. América Latina Hoy, 2000, vol. 26 (diciembre): 67-74.
Pérez Liñán, Aníbal. Crisis presidenciales: gobernabilidad y estabilidad democrática para América Latina. Instituciones y Desarrollo, 2001, vol. 8: 281-298.
Pérez Liñán, Aníbal. Argentina y el nuevo patrón de inestabilidad política en América Latina. Revista Sociedad Argentina de Análisis Político, 2002, vol. 1 (1).
Pérez Liñán, Aníbal. Pugna de poderes y crisis de gobernabilidad: ¿Hacia un nuevo presidencialismo? Latin American Research Review, 2003, vol. 38 (3): 149-164.
Pérez Liñán, Aníbal. El Impacto de la Democratización en las Crisis Presidenciales. Un Análisis de Lógica Difusa. Revista PostData, 2006, n.° 11: 193-220.
Pérez Liñán, Aníbal. Presidential Impeachment and the New Political Instability in Latin America. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2007.
Pérez Liñán, Aníbal. Instituciones, coaliciones callejeras e inestabilidad política: perspectivas teóricas sobre las crisis presidenciales. América Latina Hoy, Revista de Ciencias Sociales, 2008, vol. 49 (agosto): 105-126.
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